UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marquardt vs Saffiedine

2,037

CageRank

WINNER
Saffiedine

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Saffiedine
WILL WIN

2,085

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tarec Saffiedine
Younger 30 years vs 38 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Nate Marquardt
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Saffiedine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquardt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tarec
Saffiedine
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saffiedine Marquardt
Significant Strikes70
Saffiedine's good striking offense is matched by Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Saffiedine's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saffiedine has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Marquardt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saffiedine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Marquardt
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Marquardt Saffiedine
Significant Strikes76
Marquardt's good striking offense may be a factor against Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Marquardt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquardt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Marquardt is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marquardt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saffiedine 8.9
fighter Marquardt 8.8
Great striking by Saffiedine
116 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Marquardt
67 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Bowling
46 strikes Jan 07, 2012 vs Stinson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.7
fighter Marquardt 8.4
Great takedowns by Marquardt
1 takedown Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
3 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Miller
2 takedowns Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saffiedine 6.7
fighter Marquardt 8.2
Great knockouts by Marquardt
Round 4 Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.1
fighter Marquardt 7.9
Great submissions by Marquardt
Round 2 Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn
Round 2 Oct 10, 2006 vs Wallace
Round 3 May 01, 2005 vs Takeuchi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saffiedine 7.4
fighter Marquardt 8.6
Fast finishes by Marquardt
208 seconds Sep 15, 2010 vs Palhares
21 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
82 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
DECX
2,1381,981
2,0672,052
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saffiedine
legend Marquardt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus