UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Grice vs Lamas

1,790

CageRank

WINNER
Lamas

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
86% chance Lamas
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Significantly heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Grice
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grice’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lamas Grice
Significant Strikes60
Lamas's average striking offense is matched by Grice's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lamas's average takedown offense is matched by Grice's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Grice on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Grice
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grice Lamas
Significant Strikes58
Grice's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grice's average takedown offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grice is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grice is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grice is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lamas 8.4
fighter Grice 8.6
Great striking by Grice
61 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Garcia
44 strikes Oct 20, 2007 vs Black

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lamas 8.3
fighter Grice 8.3
Great takedowns by Grice
4 takedowns Jun 08, 2012 vs Garcia
3 takedowns Oct 20, 2007 vs Black

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lamas 8.0
fighter Grice 7.1
Great knockouts by Lamas
Round 2 Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
Round 1 Jun 26, 2011 vs Grice
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lamas 7.4
fighter Grice 7.4
Great submissions by Grice
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Schulte
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs McAnally
Round 1 Apr 29, 2006 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lamas 8.1
fighter Grice 7.8
Fast finishes by Lamas
452 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
436 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
223 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,8601,903
1,8161,947
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lamas
legend Grice
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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