UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tibau vs Nurmagomedov

2,036

CageRank

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Gleison Tibau
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tibau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Tibau
Significant Strikes62
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense is matched by Tibau's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Tibau's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Tibau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gleison
Tibau
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tibau Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes48
Tibau's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Tibau's excellent takedown offense will dominate Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tibau is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tibau is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tibau has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Tibau 8.2
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Tibau 9.2
Great takedowns by Tibau
2 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Varner
5 takedowns Oct 13, 2012 vs Trinaldo
2 takedowns Feb 07, 2009 vs Clementi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Tibau 6.7
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Tibau 7.8
Great submissions by Tibau
Round 2 May 18, 2013 vs Cholish
Round 2 May 28, 2011 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Feb 07, 2009 vs Clementi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Tibau 7.9
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 7, 2012UFC 148
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
2,0661,959
2,0012,024
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Tibau
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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