CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Maynard vs Diaz
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Diaz
Much better submission offense | 8.6 | vs | 6.5 | More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Fast finishes | 8.7 | vs | 7.3 | More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Much stronger jaw | 8.9 | vs | 7.4 | More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Better striker | 9.3 | vs | 8.5 | Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Puts up a fight | 9.5 | vs | 8.4 | Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Significantly longer reach | 193 cm | vs | 178 cm | Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Taller | 183 cm | vs | 173 cm | More than 5% taller |
Harder to hit | 8.7 | vs | 8.5 | Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Younger | 33 years | vs | 38 years | Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Heavier hands | 7.4 | vs | 7.2 | Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
Heavier | 155 lbs | vs | 144 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Advantages for Gray Maynard
Much better takedown defense | 9.6 | vs | 7.9 | More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly stronger takedown offense | 8.5 | vs | 7.8 | Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Diaz on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
Predictions For Nate Diaz |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? | Diaz | Maynard | |
Significant Strikes54
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns0
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Average
Jaw
|
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision |
Below average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Maynard on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For Gray Maynard |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? | Maynard | Diaz | |
Significant Strikes36
Maynard's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Maynard's average takedown offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Maynard has a good chance of winning by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Diaz
33 strikes | Nov 30, 2013 | vs Maynard |
46 strikes | May 05, 2012 | vs Miller |
238 strikes | Dec 30, 2011 | vs Cerrone |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Maynard
1 takedown | Jun 22, 2012 | vs Guida |
5 takedowns | Aug 28, 2010 | vs Florian |
5 takedowns | Oct 25, 2008 | vs Clementi |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 | Nov 30, 2013 | vs Maynard |
Round 1 | Mar 27, 2010 | vs Markham |
Round 1 | May 05, 2006 | vs Rael |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Diaz
158 seconds | Nov 30, 2013 | vs Maynard |
549 seconds | May 05, 2012 | vs Miller |
267 seconds | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Gomi |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?