VS
CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Maynard vs Diaz
2,005
CageRank
WINNER
Diaz
BY KO ROUND 2
57% chance Diaz
WILL WIN
2,056
CageRank
WINNER
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Diaz
| Much better submission offense | 8.6 | vs | 6.5 | More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
| Fast finishes | 8.7 | vs | 7.3 | More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
| Much stronger jaw | 8.9 | vs | 7.4 | More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
| Better striker | 9.3 | vs | 8.5 | Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
| Puts up a fight | 9.5 | vs | 8.4 | Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
| Significantly longer reach | 193 cm | vs | 178 cm | Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
| Taller | 183 cm | vs | 173 cm | More than 5% taller |
| Harder to hit | 8.7 | vs | 8.5 | Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
| Younger | 33 years | vs | 39 years | More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
| Heavier hands | 7.4 | vs | 7.2 | Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
| Heavier | 155 lbs | vs | 144 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Advantages for Gray Maynard
| Much better takedown defense | 9.6 | vs | 7.9 | More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down |
| Significantly stronger takedown offense | 8.5 | vs | 7.8 | Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Diaz on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
 Nate Diaz |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 8:23, how much damage will he do? | Diaz | Maynard | |
|
Significant Strikes54
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns0
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Average
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision |
Below average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Maynard on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
 Gray Maynard |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 8:23, how much damage will he do? | Maynard | Diaz | |
|
Significant Strikes36
Maynard's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns2
Maynard's average takedown offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Maynard has a good chance of winning by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
Diaz
9.3
Maynard
8.5
Great striking by Diaz
| 33 strikes | Nov 30, 2013 | vs Maynard |
| 46 strikes | May 05, 2012 | vs Miller |
| 238 strikes | Dec 30, 2011 | vs Cerrone |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?
Diaz
7.8
Maynard
8.5
Great takedowns by Maynard
| 1 takedown | Jun 22, 2012 | vs Guida |
| 5 takedowns | Aug 28, 2010 | vs Florian |
| 5 takedowns | Oct 25, 2008 | vs Clementi |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?
Diaz
7.4
Maynard
7.2
Great knockouts by Diaz
| Round 1 | Nov 30, 2013 | vs Maynard |
| Round 1 | Mar 27, 2010 | vs Markham |
| Round 1 | May 05, 2006 | vs Rael |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster?
Diaz
8.7
Maynard
7.3
Fast finishes by Diaz
| 158 seconds | Nov 30, 2013 | vs Maynard |
| 549 seconds | May 05, 2012 | vs Miller |
| 267 seconds | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Gomi |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
Diaz
Maynard
Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
