Gray Maynard The Bully 16-7-1

Weight 144 lbs
Height 5' 8"
Reach 70"
Age 38

Nate Diaz 22-11

155 lbs
6' 0"
76"
33

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maynard vs Diaz

CageRank

57% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Nate Diaz

Much better submission offense	8.6	vs	6.5	More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes	8.7	vs	7.3	More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw	8.9	vs	7.4	More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker	9.3	vs	8.5	Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight	9.5	vs	8.4	Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach	193 cm	vs	178 cm	Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller	183 cm	vs	173 cm	More than 5% taller
Harder to hit	8.7	vs	8.5	Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger	33 years	vs	38 years	Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands	7.4	vs	7.2	Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier	155 lbs	vs	144 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control

Advantages for Gray Maynard

Much better takedown defense	9.6	vs	7.9	More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense	8.5	vs	7.8	Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat

Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills

Predictions For Nate Diaz
In 8:23, how much damage will he do?	Diaz		Maynard
Significant Strikes54 Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Maynard's defense Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0 Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Average Knockout ability	vs	Average Jaw
Submission Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Diaz is unlikely to win by decision	Below average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

Maynard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills

Predictions For Gray Maynard
In 8:23, how much damage will he do?	Maynard		Diaz
Significant Strikes36 Maynard's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23	Average Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Maynard's average takedown offense is matched by Diaz's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout	Average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Maynard is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Maynard has a good chance of winning by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability