UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maynard vs Pearson

2,005

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maynard

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Maynard
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gray Maynard
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ross Pearson
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Maynard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pearson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gray
Maynard
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maynard Pearson
Significant Strikes76
Maynard's average striking offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maynard's average takedown offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maynard has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pearson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ross
Pearson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pearson Maynard
Significant Strikes85
Pearson's good striking offense may be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pearson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pearson has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Pearson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pearson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maynard 8.5
fighter Pearson 8.9
Great striking by Pearson
50 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
52 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Assuncao
59 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maynard 8.5
fighter Pearson 8.1
Great takedowns by Maynard
1 takedown Jun 22, 2012 vs Guida
5 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Florian
5 takedowns Oct 25, 2008 vs Clementi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maynard 7.2
fighter Pearson 7.9
Great knockouts by Pearson
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
Round 3 Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maynard 6.5
fighter Pearson 7.3
Great submissions by Pearson
Round 1 Nov 01, 2008 vs Jones
Round 1 May 31, 2008 vs Celerier
Round 3 May 03, 2008 vs Marron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maynard 7.3
fighter Pearson 7.9
Fast finishes by Pearson
525 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
641 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
578 seconds Nov 14, 2009 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 16, 2014UFC Fight Night 47
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maynard
legend Pearson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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