UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maynard vs Florian

2,005

CageRank

WINNER
Florian

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
58% chance Florian
WILL WIN

2,061

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kenny Florian
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 6.5 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.0 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Gray Maynard
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Florian on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kenny
Florian
In 9:29, how much damage will he do? Florian Maynard
Significant Strikes46
Florian's average striking offense is matched by Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:29
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Florian's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:29
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Florian has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Florian has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Florian is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maynard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Florian’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gray
Maynard
In 9:29, how much damage will he do? Maynard Florian
Significant Strikes27
Maynard's average striking offense won't be a factor against Florian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:29
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Maynard's average takedown offense is matched by Florian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maynard has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Florian 8.5
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great striking by Maynard
49 strikes Jun 22, 2012 vs Guida
15 strikes Aug 28, 2010 vs Florian
37 strikes Mar 07, 2009 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Florian 9.0
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great takedowns by Florian
1 takedown Mar 31, 2010 vs Gomi
1 takedown Nov 15, 2008 vs Stevenson
5 takedowns Aug 09, 2008 vs Huerta

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Florian 7.2
fighter Maynard 7.2
Great knockouts by Florian
Round 2 Apr 02, 2008 vs Lauzon
Round 2 Aug 06, 2005 vs Karalexis
Round 1 Jan 25, 2003 vs Giroux

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Florian 8.8
fighter Maynard 6.5
Great submissions by Florian
Round 3 Mar 31, 2010 vs Gomi
Round 1 Nov 15, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Sep 19, 2007 vs Thomas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Florian 8.5
fighter Maynard 7.3
Fast finishes by Florian
772 seconds Mar 31, 2010 vs Gomi
243 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Stevenson
271 seconds Sep 19, 2007 vs Thomas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 28, 2010UFC 118
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
2,0642,116
2,1222,058
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Florian
legend Maynard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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