UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maynard vs Lentz

2,005

CageRank

WINNER
Lentz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Lentz
WILL WIN

2,069

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nik Lentz
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Gray Maynard
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.2 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Lentz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nik
Lentz
In 12:40, how much damage will he do? Lentz Maynard
Significant Strikes69
Lentz's good striking offense may be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:40
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lentz's excellent takedown offense is matched by Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:40
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lentz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lentz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lentz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maynard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lentz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gray
Maynard
In 12:40, how much damage will he do? Maynard Lentz
Significant Strikes55
Maynard's average striking offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:40
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maynard's average takedown offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maynard has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lentz 8.8
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great striking by Lentz
42 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dias
56 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
33 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lentz 9.3
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great takedowns by Lentz
4 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Dias
10 takedowns Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
4 takedowns Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lentz 7.2
fighter Maynard 7.2
Great knockouts by Maynard
Round 1 Sep 19, 2007 vs Veres
Round 1 Feb 15, 2007 vs Weems
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Powell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lentz 7.4
fighter Maynard 6.5
Great submissions by Lentz
Round 3 Mar 26, 2011 vs Lowe
Round 2 May 02, 2008 vs Perzynski
Round 1 Aug 02, 2007 vs Walbridge

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lentz 7.5
fighter Maynard 7.3
Fast finishes by Lentz
225 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
744 seconds Mar 26, 2011 vs Lowe
525 seconds May 02, 2008 vs Perzynski
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lentz
legend Maynard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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