UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Noke

1,990

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,874

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Kyle Noke
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly longer reach 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Noke’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 12:40, how much damage will he do? Herman Noke
Significant Strikes46
Herman's average striking offense won't be a factor against Noke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:40
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Herman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Noke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Noke on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kyle
Noke
In 12:40, how much damage will he do? Noke Herman
Significant Strikes70
Noke's good striking offense may be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:40
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Noke's good takedown offense may be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:40
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Noke is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Noke is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Noke is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Noke 8.8
Great striking by Noke
7 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Brenneman
4 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Camozzi
25 strikes Nov 13, 2010 vs Kimmons

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Noke 8.8
Great takedowns by Noke
1 takedown Feb 27, 2011 vs Camozzi
3 takedowns Nov 13, 2010 vs Kimmons

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Noke 7.5
Great knockouts by Noke
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Brenneman
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Bryant
Round 2 Nov 10, 2007 vs Kleinbeck

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Noke 7.6
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Noke 8.4
Fast finishes by Noke
45 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Brenneman
95 seconds Feb 27, 2011 vs Camozzi
393 seconds Nov 13, 2010 vs Kimmons
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,8781,979
1,9421,915
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Noke
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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