UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Misaki

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Misaki

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Misaki
WILL WIN

2,014

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kazuo Misaki
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Ed Herman
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 37 years vs 42 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Misaki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazuo
Misaki
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Misaki Herman
Significant Strikes74
Misaki's average striking offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Misaki's average takedown offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Misaki is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Misaki is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Misaki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Misaki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Herman Misaki
Significant Strikes62
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Misaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Misaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Misaki 8.6
fighter Herman 8.5
Great striking by Misaki
43 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Daley
37 strikes Nov 05, 2006 vs Kang
91 strikes Aug 26, 2006 vs Henderson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Misaki 7.9
fighter Herman 8.5
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Misaki 7.8
fighter Herman 7.3
Great knockouts by Misaki
Round 1 Dec 30, 2010 vs Seal
Round 2 Sep 20, 2008 vs Riggs
Round 2 Feb 06, 2004 vs Kunioku

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Misaki 7.6
fighter Herman 8.1
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Misaki 8.2
fighter Herman 8.1
Fast finishes by Misaki
183 seconds Aug 02, 2009 vs Nakamura
449 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Riggs
391 seconds Feb 06, 2004 vs Kunioku
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,8681,856
1,8171,908
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Misaki
legend Herman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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