UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Souza

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Ed Herman
Heavier 205 lbs vs 183 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 187 cm Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 8:44, how much damage will he do? Souza Herman
Significant Strikes46
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:44
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 8:44, how much damage will he do? Herman Souza
Significant Strikes23
Herman's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:44
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Herman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Herman 8.5
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Herman 8.5
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Herman 7.3
Great knockouts by Herman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
Round 3 Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Round 1 Jul 23, 2005 vs Menne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Herman 8.1
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Herman 8.1
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,9772,083
1,9412,118
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Herman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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