UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Doerksen

1,990

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 186 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Doerksen
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Doerksen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 12:26, how much damage will he do? Herman Doerksen
Significant Strikes57
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Doerksen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:26
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Doerksen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Doerksen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Doerksen
In 12:26, how much damage will he do? Doerksen Herman
Significant Strikes41
Doerksen's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:26
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Doerksen's average takedown offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Doerksen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Doerksen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Doerksen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Doerksen 7.8
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Doerksen 8.2
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Doerksen 7.1
Great knockouts by Herman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
Round 3 Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Round 1 Jul 23, 2005 vs Menne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Doerksen 8.2
Great submissions by Doerksen
Round 3 Apr 16, 2005 vs Cote
Round 3 Oct 23, 2004 vs Herman
Round 1 Jun 07, 2003 vs Jensen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Doerksen 8.0
Fast finishes by Herman
255 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
48 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
639 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 17, 2007UFC 78
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,8891,961
1,9491,901
October 23, 2004SF 7 - Frightnight
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,8731,951
1,8341,990
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Doerksen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus