UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Leites

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Leites
WILL WIN

2,122

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 198 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Ed Herman
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 10:43, how much damage will he do? Leites Herman
Significant Strikes36
Leites's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:43
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:43
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 10:43, how much damage will he do? Herman Leites
Significant Strikes34
Herman's average striking offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:43
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Herman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Leites 7.9
fighter Herman 8.5
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Leites 9.1
fighter Herman 8.5
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Herman 7.3
Great knockouts by Herman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
Round 3 Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Round 1 Jul 23, 2005 vs Menne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Herman 8.1
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Herman 8.1
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 16, 2013UFC 167
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 SUB
1,9732,071
1,9362,107
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Herman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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