UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Credeur

1,990

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
75% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,798

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tim Credeur
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Slightly taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Credeur’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Herman Credeur
Significant Strikes59
Herman's average striking offense may be a factor against Credeur's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Credeur's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Credeur on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Credeur
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Credeur Herman
Significant Strikes62
Credeur's good striking offense may be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Credeur's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Credeur is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Credeur is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Credeur is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Credeur 8.9
Great striking by Credeur
9 strikes Apr 01, 2009 vs Catone
52 strikes Dec 10, 2008 vs Loughran
19 strikes Jul 19, 2008 vs Yarbrough

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Credeur 7.8
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Credeur 7.4
Great knockouts by Credeur
Round 2 Dec 10, 2008 vs Loughran
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Yarbrough
Round 1 Jun 01, 2002 vs Sayavonga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Credeur 7.9
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Credeur 8.3
Fast finishes by Credeur
525 seconds Apr 01, 2009 vs Catone
600 seconds Dec 10, 2008 vs Loughran
182 seconds Apr 30, 2004 vs Everson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 4, 2011TUF 13 Finale
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,8251,852
1,8781,798
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Credeur
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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