UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Boetsch

1,990

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 12:40, how much damage will he do? Herman Boetsch
Significant Strikes59
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:40
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 12:40, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Herman
Significant Strikes61
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:40
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Boetsch's average takedown offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Boetsch 8.2
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Herman
255 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
48 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
639 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 17, 2016UFC Fight Night 81
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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