UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Ngannou

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
97% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

1,612

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.3 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Francis Ngannou
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 258 lbs vs 241 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ngannou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ngannou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Ngannou
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ngannou is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ngannou is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ngannou is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Ngannou 7.4
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Ngannou 7.5
Great submissions by Ngannou
Round 1 Dec 09, 2016 vs Hamilton
Round 1 Sep 20, 2014 vs Ngeleka
Round 1 Nov 30, 2013 vs Benzina

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Ngannou 7.7
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Ngannou
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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