UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Minakov

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
72% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,056

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Heavier hands 10.0 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Vitaly Minakov
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 248 lbs vs 241 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Minakov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Minakov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitaly
Minakov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Minakov has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Minakov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Minakov is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Minakov 9.1
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Minakov 7.1
Great submissions by Minakov
Round 1 Jun 29, 2011 vs Frolov
Round 1 Dec 10, 2010 vs Scherbakov
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs Kabdulin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Minakov 8.9
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Minakov
Read More
Velasquez vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Minakov vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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