UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Constant

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

1,676

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 6.2 More than 60% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.3 More than 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 34 years vs 42 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Jeremiah Constant
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Constant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 3:16, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Constant
Significant Strikes25
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Constant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 29 Significant Strikes in 3:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Constant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:16
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Constant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremiah
Constant
In 3:16, how much damage will he do? Constant Velasquez
Significant Strikes6
Constant's average striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 29 Significant Strikes in 3:16
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Constant's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Constant is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Constant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Constant is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Constant 8.3
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Constant 8.3
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Constant 6.2
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Constant 8.4
Great submissions by Constant
Round 2 Apr 23, 2010 vs Orr
Round 1 Oct 11, 2008 vs Smith
Round 1 Nov 03, 2007 vs Guillen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Constant 8.1
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,5611,652
1,6231,589
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Constant
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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