UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Rousey

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.4 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.5 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier 241 lbs vs 134 lbs Around 80% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much longer reach 196 cm vs 168 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 6.7 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 7:23, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Rousey
Significant Strikes56
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:23
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:23
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 7:23, how much damage will she do? Rousey Velasquez
Significant Strikes16
Rousey's average striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:23
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense is matched by Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:23
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Rousey 8.5
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Rousey 9.4
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Rousey 7.4
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Rousey 9.3
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Rousey 9.9
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Rousey
Read More
Velasquez vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Rousey vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 6 comments.
What!!!???... 2° Round!!!???... I know this fantasy stuff, but making an advantage from Rousey the submissions, winning streak, take down offense, come on!!!, she wouldn´t be able even to take him down a dude who is 107 pound heavier, a lot more strong and of course who actually can kill her with one punch... I think will be a better match, with a male in her weight class and even that, for sure the dude will have advantage because the male morphology is naturally more strengh...
Wow, might as well pit Cain against LaVerne and Shirley.
Rhonda advantage: younger? LOL Cain is in his prime, prime starts between 29-33
round 2? really? come on, this fight literally wouldnt last 10 seconds and rousey would die.
Cain just need to drop his hands without any force to literally part Ronda in two parts
Cain ucciderebbe Ronda, dopo pochi secondi... Ripeto: curatevi.
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