UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Browne

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,077

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 10.0 vs 9.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Travis Browne
Much taller 201 cm vs 185 cm Around 10% taller
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 201 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Browne’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 10:11, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Browne
Significant Strikes72
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Browne's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:11
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense is matched by Browne's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:11
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Browne on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Travis
Browne
In 10:11, how much damage will he do? Browne Velasquez
Significant Strikes38
Browne's excellent striking offense is matched by Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:11
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Browne's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Browne has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Browne is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Browne is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Browne 9.3
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Browne 8.2
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Browne 9.4
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Browne 6.8
Great submissions by Browne
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Griggs
Round 1 Mar 14, 2009 vs Lozano

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Browne 9.5
Fast finishes by Browne
60 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Barnett
248 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Overeem
71 seconds Apr 13, 2013 vs Gonzaga
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 9, 2016UFC 200
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Browne
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Cain, in a rematch would beat the Brazilian Werdum silly. He is easily the best heavyweight if not the best MMA fighter ever. Travis is in my opinion the worst heavyweight barely pulling ahead of Ben Rothwell or Roy Nelson.
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