UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Belfort

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 241 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 196 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.7 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Belfort
Significant Strikes57
Velasquez's excellent striking offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Belfort Velasquez
Significant Strikes39
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Belfort 9.2
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Belfort 7.6
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Belfort 10.0
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Belfort 6.9
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Belfort 10.0
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Belfort
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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