UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Struve

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.2 Around 20% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.4 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.3 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 185 cm More than 15% taller
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 196 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 241 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 8:41, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Struve
Significant Strikes68
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:41
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:41
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 8:41, how much damage will he do? Struve Velasquez
Significant Strikes17
Struve's average striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:41
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:41
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Struve is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Struve 8.4
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Struve 7.3
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Struve 8.1
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Struve 8.0
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Struve 8.8
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Struve
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Struve vs Lewis
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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