UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Miocic

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 10.0 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 203 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Miocic
Significant Strikes75
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Miocic Velasquez
Significant Strikes29
Miocic's excellent striking offense is matched by Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Miocic 8.9
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Miocic 8.7
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Miocic 9.1
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Miocic 8.9
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Miocic
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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