UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Emelianenko

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 241 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 196 cm vs 189 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 35 years vs 41 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 10:03, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Emelianenko
Significant Strikes57
Velasquez's excellent striking offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:03
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 10:03, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Velasquez
Significant Strikes32
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense is matched by Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Emelianenko
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Emelianenko vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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