UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Stojnic

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

1,766

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.0 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.2 More than 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 196 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Denis Stojnic
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier 281 lbs vs 241 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stojnic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 6:55, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Stojnic
Significant Strikes52
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Stojnic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Stojnic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:55
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Stojnic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Denis
Stojnic
In 6:55, how much damage will he do? Stojnic Velasquez
Significant Strikes12
Stojnic's average striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:55
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Stojnic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stojnic is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stojnic is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stojnic is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Stojnic 8.2
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Stojnic 8.2
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Stojnic 7.0
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Stojnic 7.8
Great submissions by Stojnic
Round 1 May 28, 2011 vs Kujundzic
Round 1 May 14, 2011 vs Traunmueller
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Bellahmar

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Stojnic 8.1
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 7, 2009UFC Fight Night 17
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
1,7651,709
1,8071,667
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Stojnic
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus