UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Werdum

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.9 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 10.0 vs 9.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Werdum
Significant Strikes79
Velasquez's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Werdum Velasquez
Significant Strikes40
Werdum's excellent striking offense is matched by Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Werdum 9.1
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Werdum 8.6
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Werdum 7.9
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Werdum 8.5
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Werdum 9.0
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 13, 2015UFC 188
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Werdum
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Werdum vs Rockhold
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
This is a pick em fight with edge to the vet.
I don't get the "younger" statistic? most fighters don't reach there prime till late 20's to early 30's!
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