UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Kongo

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

1,943

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.4 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.5 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 34 years vs 41 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 241 lbs vs 233 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Cheick Kongo
Significantly longer reach 208 cm vs 196 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kongo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 9:25, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Kongo
Significant Strikes58
Velasquez's excellent striking offense is matched by Kongo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:25
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Kongo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:25
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kongo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cheick
Kongo
In 9:25, how much damage will he do? Kongo Velasquez
Significant Strikes20
Kongo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:25
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kongo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kongo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kongo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kongo is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Kongo 8.5
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Kongo 8.1
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Kongo 8.5
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Kongo 7.8
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 13, 2009UFC 99
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 KO
1,8071,942
1,8751,874
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Kongo
Read More
Velasquez vs Miocic
Fantasy Cage Match
Kongo vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus