UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Fujarczyk

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

1,515

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 6.9 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.1 More than 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 6.7 More than 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.5 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 241 lbs vs 225 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Jesse Fujarczyk
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fujarczyk’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 1:07, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Fujarczyk
Significant Strikes9
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Fujarczyk's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 10 Significant Strikes in 1:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Fujarczyk's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:07
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Fujarczyk on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Fujarczyk
In 1:07, how much damage will he do? Fujarczyk Velasquez
Significant Strikes2
Fujarczyk's average striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 10 Significant Strikes in 1:07
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Fujarczyk's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fujarczyk is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fujarczyk is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fujarczyk is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Fujarczyk 8.1
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Fujarczyk 8.1
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Fujarczyk 6.9
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Fujarczyk 7.2
Great submissions by Fujarczyk
Round 1 May 13, 2006 vs Swanson
Round 1 Nov 05, 2005 vs O'Keefe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Fujarczyk 7.1
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,5001,576
1,5611,515
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Fujarczyk
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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