UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs McGregor

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,038

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier 241 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 65% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Younger 28 years vs 34 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 8:04, how much damage will he do? Velasquez McGregor
Significant Strikes61
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:04
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:04
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 8:04, how much damage will he do? McGregor Velasquez
Significant Strikes19
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:04
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend McGregor
Read More
Velasquez vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus