UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Griffin vs Faber

1,834

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
87% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.0 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Tyson Griffin
Significantly heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly longer reach 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Griffin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? Faber Griffin
Significant Strikes50
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Griffin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyson
Griffin
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? Griffin Faber
Significant Strikes38
Griffin's good striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Griffin's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Griffin is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Griffin is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Griffin is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Griffin 8.7
Great striking by Griffin
67 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Franca
92 strikes Jul 05, 2008 vs Aurelio
29 strikes Sep 22, 2007 vs Tavares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Griffin 8.1
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Griffin 7.4
Great knockouts by Griffin
Round 2 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franca
Round 1 Jun 09, 2006 vs Ludwig
Round 3 Sep 10, 2005 vs Faber

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Griffin 7.0
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Griffin 7.6
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 10, 2005GC 42 - Summer Slam
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,5931,807
1,6701,730
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Griffin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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