UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Ngannou

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,612

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Francis Ngannou
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier 258 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ngannou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ngannou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Ngannou
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ngannou is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ngannou is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ngannou is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Ngannou 7.4
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Ngannou 7.5
Great submissions by Ngannou
Round 1 Dec 09, 2016 vs Hamilton
Round 1 Sep 20, 2014 vs Ngeleka
Round 1 Nov 30, 2013 vs Benzina

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Ngannou 7.7
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Ngannou
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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