UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Jackson

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
71% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,095

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Significantly heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Quinton Jackson
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jackson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 12:02, how much damage will he do? Johnson Jackson
Significant Strikes56
Johnson's good striking offense is matched by Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:02
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Jackson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Quinton
Jackson
In 12:02, how much damage will he do? Jackson Johnson
Significant Strikes43
Jackson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:02
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jackson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jackson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jackson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jackson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Jackson 8.6
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Jackson 8.1
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Jackson 8.6
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Jackson 6.6
Great submissions by Jackson
Round 1 Jun 08, 2003 vs Ilyukhin
Round 1 Sep 29, 2002 vs Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Oct 28, 2000 vs Owsley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Jackson 8.3
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Jackson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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