UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Jones

2,249

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer winning streak 13 fights vs 3 fights More than 4.2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 198 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Significantly heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Jones Johnson
Significant Strikes67
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Johnson Jones
Significant Strikes37
Johnson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Johnson 8.9
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Johnson 8.7
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Johnson 9.7
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Johnson 6.5
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Johnson 9.1
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Johnson
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Jones vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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