UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Belfort

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 32 years vs 39 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 10.0 vs 9.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Johnson Belfort
Significant Strikes32
Johnson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Belfort Johnson
Significant Strikes57
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Belfort 9.2
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Belfort 7.6
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Belfort 10.0
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Belfort 6.9
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Belfort 10.0
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 14, 2012UFC 142
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
2,0082,076
1,9682,117
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Belfort
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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