UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Brenneman

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,827

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 6.7 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 180 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Charlie Brenneman
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brenneman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 5:11, how much damage will he do? Johnson Brenneman
Significant Strikes29
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Brenneman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brenneman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brenneman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charlie
Brenneman
In 5:11, how much damage will he do? Brenneman Johnson
Significant Strikes10
Brenneman's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:11
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brenneman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brenneman is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brenneman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brenneman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Brenneman 7.8
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Brenneman 8.4
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Brenneman 6.7
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Brenneman 7.7
Great submissions by Brenneman
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Baker
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Irvin
Round 2 Jan 30, 2010 vs Sheppard

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Brenneman 7.5
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
1,9551,979
2,0081,926
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Brenneman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus