Anthony Johnson Rumble 23-6

Weight 205 lbs
Height 6' 2"
Reach 78"
Age 33

Dan Hardy 23-10 The Outlaw

169 lbs
6' 0"
74"
35

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Hardy

CageRank

WINNER

81% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Anthony Johnson

Fast finishes	9.1	vs	7.8	Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands	9.7	vs	8.2	Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense	8.7	vs	7.8	More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit	9.1	vs	8.6	More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense	9.2	vs	8.4	Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker	8.9	vs	8.5	More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier	205 lbs	vs	169 lbs	More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach	198 cm	vs	188 cm	More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw	9.5	vs	9.1	Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller	188 cm	vs	183 cm	Around 5% taller
Slightly younger	33 years	vs	35 years	More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Advantages for Dan Hardy

Better submission defense	9.0	vs	8.4	More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense	6.7	vs	6.5	Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win

Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hardy’s defensive skills

Predictions For Anthony Johnson
In 10:45, how much damage will he do?	Johnson		Hardy
Significant Strikes59 Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Hardy's defense Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45	Good Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by Hardy's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Johnson is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Johnson is unlikely to win by decision	Good Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

Hardy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills

Predictions For Dan Hardy
In 10:45, how much damage will he do?	Hardy		Johnson
Significant Strikes35 Hardy's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45	Average Striking	vs	Good Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Hardy's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Hardy has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Hardy is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Hardy is unlikely to win by decision	Good Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability