UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs St. Preux

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
73% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 11:07, how much damage will he do? Johnson St. Preux
Significant Strikes61
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:07
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 11:07, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Johnson
Significant Strikes42
St. Preux's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:07
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter St. Preux 8.7
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter St. Preux 8.0
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter St. Preux 8.1
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter St. Preux 7.9
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter St. Preux 9.0
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend St. Preux
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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