UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Emelianenko

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 34 years vs 41 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 198 cm vs 189 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 10:50, how much damage will he do? Johnson Emelianenko
Significant Strikes34
Johnson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:50
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 10:50, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Johnson
Significant Strikes49
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:50
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Emelianenko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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