UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Clementi

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
93% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,812

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 6.1 Around 60% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 184 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 32 years vs 40 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Rich Clementi
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Clementi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 11:06, how much damage will he do? Johnson Clementi
Significant Strikes60
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Clementi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:06
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by Clementi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Clementi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rich
Clementi
In 11:06, how much damage will he do? Clementi Johnson
Significant Strikes20
Clementi's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:06
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Clementi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Clementi is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Clementi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Clementi is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Clementi 7.7
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Clementi 8.3
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Clementi 6.1
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Clementi 8.4
Great submissions by Clementi
Round 1 Dec 29, 2007 vs Guillard
Round 1 Oct 13, 2007 vs Skinner
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Schultz

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Clementi 7.6
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 22, 2007UFC 76
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7611,813
1,7181,856
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Clementi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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