UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Reiner

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,596

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 6.8 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.2 More than 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 180 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Chad Reiner
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reiner’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 4:03, how much damage will he do? Johnson Reiner
Significant Strikes24
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Reiner's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 36 Significant Strikes in 4:03
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by Reiner's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Reiner on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chad
Reiner
In 4:03, how much damage will he do? Reiner Johnson
Significant Strikes13
Reiner's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 36 Significant Strikes in 4:03
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Reiner's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reiner is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reiner is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Reiner is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Reiner 8.5
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Reiner 8.2
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Reiner 6.8
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Reiner 7.2
Great submissions by Reiner
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Gonzalez
Round 1 Dec 09, 2006 vs Moreno
Round 1 Oct 15, 2005 vs Moreno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Reiner 7.5
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 12, 2007UFC Fight Night 10
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,6881,861
1,7611,788
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Reiner
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus