UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Rosholt

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,788

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jake Rosholt
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rosholt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 6:30, how much damage will he do? Johnson Rosholt
Significant Strikes32
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Rosholt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:30
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by Rosholt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rosholt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Rosholt
In 6:30, how much damage will he do? Rosholt Johnson
Significant Strikes18
Rosholt's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:30
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rosholt's excellent takedown offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:30
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rosholt is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rosholt is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rosholt is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Rosholt 8.3
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Rosholt 9.5
Great takedowns by Rosholt
3 takedowns Aug 29, 2009 vs Leben
4 takedowns Nov 05, 2008 vs Osterneck

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Rosholt 7.6
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Rosholt 7.9
Great submissions by Rosholt
Round 1 May 21, 2011 vs Malbrough
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs Bryant
Round 3 Aug 29, 2009 vs Leben

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Rosholt 8.3
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2012XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 9
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
2,0281,810
2,0501,788
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Rosholt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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