UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Koscheck

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
83% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.9 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Josh Koscheck
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koscheck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Johnson Koscheck
Significant Strikes46
Johnson's good striking offense is matched by Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Koscheck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Koscheck
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Koscheck Johnson
Significant Strikes27
Koscheck's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Koscheck's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koscheck is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koscheck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koscheck is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Koscheck 8.9
Great takedowns by Koscheck
2 takedowns Feb 04, 2012 vs Pierce
4 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Daley
1 takedown Apr 07, 2007 vs Sanchez

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Koscheck 7.9
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Koscheck 7.5
Great submissions by Koscheck
Round 2 Nov 21, 2009 vs Johnson
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Goulet
Round 1 Apr 06, 2006 vs Chalangov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 21, 2009UFC 106
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR1 KO
1,9172,021
1,8822,056
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Koscheck
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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