UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Fioravanti

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
92% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,819

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 178 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 205 lbs vs 183 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Luigi Fioravanti
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fioravanti’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 10:29, how much damage will he do? Johnson Fioravanti
Significant Strikes52
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Fioravanti's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:29
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fioravanti's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Fioravanti on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luigi
Fioravanti
In 10:29, how much damage will he do? Fioravanti Johnson
Significant Strikes32
Fioravanti's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:29
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Fioravanti's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Fioravanti 8.4
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Fioravanti 8.6
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Fioravanti 7.6
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Fioravanti 7.3
Great submissions by Fioravanti
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Aguilar
Round 2 Jan 22, 2011 vs Whitesel
Round 4 Dec 10, 2010 vs Guseinov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Fioravanti 7.8
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 7, 2009UFC Fight Night 17
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 KO
1,7961,883
1,8581,821
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Fioravanti
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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