UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Yoshida

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,974

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.5 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 178 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 32 years vs 42 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Yoshiyuki Yoshida
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Yoshida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 8:15, how much damage will he do? Johnson Yoshida
Significant Strikes48
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Yoshida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:15
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by Yoshida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Yoshida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoshiyuki
Yoshida
In 8:15, how much damage will he do? Yoshida Johnson
Significant Strikes17
Yoshida's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:15
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Yoshida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Yoshida is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Yoshida has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Yoshida is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Yoshida 7.8
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Yoshida 8.2
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Yoshida 7.5
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Yoshida 8.4
Great submissions by Yoshida
Round 3 Oct 13, 2012 vs Puhakka
Round 2 Apr 28, 2012 vs Hamilton
Round 1 May 23, 2009 vs Wolff

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Yoshida 8.5
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 24, 2009UFC 104
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,8581,920
1,9171,862
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Yoshida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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