UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Liddell

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,947

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 33 years vs 47 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 198 cm vs 193 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Chuck Liddell
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Liddell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 7:16, how much damage will he do? Johnson Liddell
Significant Strikes37
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Liddell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 65 Significant Strikes in 7:16
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Liddell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Liddell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chuck
Liddell
In 7:16, how much damage will he do? Liddell Johnson
Significant Strikes34
Liddell's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 65 Significant Strikes in 7:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Liddell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:16
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Liddell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Liddell is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Liddell is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Liddell 9.1
Great striking by Liddell
49 strikes Dec 30, 2006 vs Ortiz
17 strikes Aug 26, 2006 vs Sobral
64 strikes Aug 20, 2005 vs Horn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Liddell 7.9
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Liddell 8.5
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Liddell 6.5
Great submissions by Liddell
Round 1 Mar 31, 1999 vs Williams

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Liddell 8.4
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Liddell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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