UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Davis

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
73% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,079

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.1 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Phil Davis
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 201 cm vs 198 cm Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Davis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? Johnson Davis
Significant Strikes37
Johnson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Davis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Phil
Davis
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? Davis Johnson
Significant Strikes40
Davis's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Davis's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Davis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Davis is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Davis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Davis 8.7
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Davis 9.1
Great takedowns by Davis
2 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Machida
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Rogerio Nogueira
2 takedowns Nov 20, 2010 vs Boetsch

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Davis 7.1
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Davis 7.7
Great submissions by Davis
Round 2 Oct 13, 2012 vs Prado
Round 2 Nov 20, 2010 vs Boetsch
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs Gustafsson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Davis 8.0
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 26, 2014UFC 172
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Davis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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