UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Hunt

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,958

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 33 years vs 43 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Mark Hunt
Significantly heavier 261 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hunt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 8:56, how much damage will he do? Johnson Hunt
Significant Strikes40
Johnson's good striking offense is matched by Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:56
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hunt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Hunt
In 8:56, how much damage will he do? Hunt Johnson
Significant Strikes32
Hunt's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:56
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hunt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hunt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hunt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hunt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Hunt 8.2
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Hunt 7.8
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Hunt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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