UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Bader

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,073

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.6 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Ryan Bader
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? Johnson Bader
Significant Strikes31
Johnson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bader
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? Bader Johnson
Significant Strikes33
Bader's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bader's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bader is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bader is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Bader 8.7
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Bader 8.7
Great takedowns by Bader
3 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Perosh
4 takedowns Feb 26, 2012 vs Jackson
5 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Rogerio Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Bader 7.6
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Bader 7.4
Great submissions by Bader
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Acosta
Round 1 May 12, 2007 vs Baggett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Bader 8.1
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 30, 2016UFC on Fox 18
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Bader
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
Dammit. I change my mind. Bader got this.
I gave up on rumble when she lossed to cormier, that backon rapped fat tub of goo. I know rumble wins.
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