UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Cormier

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,234

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 184 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 32 years vs 37 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 11:20, how much damage will he do? Johnson Cormier
Significant Strikes50
Johnson's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:20
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 11:20, how much damage will he do? Cormier Johnson
Significant Strikes55
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Cormier 9.2
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Cormier 8.5
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Cormier 8.5
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Cormier 8.0
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Cormier 8.7
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2015UFC 187
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Cormier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
How does Johnson have a higher takedown offense than DC?
I like how the machine thinks Johnson has better take downs in a large part because of how many times he took down Dan Hardy.
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