UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Speer

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,816

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.3 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Tom Speer
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Speer’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 7:26, how much damage will he do? Johnson Speer
Significant Strikes47
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Speer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:26
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by Speer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Speer on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Speer
In 7:26, how much damage will he do? Speer Johnson
Significant Strikes18
Speer's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:26
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Speer's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Speer is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Speer is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Speer is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Speer 8.0
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Speer 8.1
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Speer 7.3
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Speer 7.5
Great submissions by Speer
Round 2 Apr 05, 2013 vs Sayers
Round 3 Dec 11, 2010 vs Williams
Round 1 May 15, 2010 vs Lafferty

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Speer 7.6
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 2, 2008UFC Fight Night 13
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,7181,764
1,7751,707
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Speer
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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