UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs McGregor

2,249

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,038

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier 205 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 40% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 8:58, how much damage will he do? Johnson McGregor
Significant Strikes52
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 81 Significant Strikes in 8:58
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 8:58, how much damage will he do? McGregor Johnson
Significant Strikes32
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 81 Significant Strikes in 8:58
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Johnson
16 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
20 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
10 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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